lumsyl
For the self-employed

See where the 400% FPL cliff leaves your health subsidy — and which deductions change it.

If you're self-employed and near the 400% income cliff, the deductions that lower your MAGI move your estimated premium tax credit. This tool estimates the credit from your own income, under the assumptions you enter.

Worked example. This page uses a hypothetical household and figures chosen by Lumsyl to show how the tool works. The results are not an estimate for you. Your results will depend on your own information and circumstances.

Tax year 2026 · projected

Calculated Sep 25, 2026

Estimated scenario only. This result is based on the inputs, assumptions, and tax year shown. It is not tax, legal, investment, insurance, or financial advice and does not establish eligibility, compliance, a tax amount, or a benefit. Verify important results with a qualified professional before acting.

AGI
$67,732
Taxable income
$41,306
Marginal rate
12.0%
federal bracket
Effective rate
19.9%
of gross income
Projected due at filing
$16,295

After withholding and estimated payments

These are example numbers — explore every one of them. Sign-ups aren’t open yet; join the waitlist and we’ll email you when you can put your own numbers in.

We’ll email you when it opens. No spam.

ACA premium tax credit (400% FPL cliff)

over the 400% FPL cliff
400% FPL · $62,600
◂ Credit (under the cliff)No credit ▸
Current · $68kif you apply → under
$46,950$78,250
Estimated tax saved
$2,800

by contributing $8,000/yr to your Solo 401(k) — $2,274 restored premium tax credit, $526 income tax.

$0$39,741 max

If you take advance premium tax credit payments and your income lands at or above 400% FPL, you must repay the ENTIRE advance subsidy at filing — there is no repayment cap above the cliff (Form 8962; IRC §36B(f)(2)(B)). So crossing the cliff can cost far more than the subsidy going forward. Staying under it avoids the clawback.

Assumes you claim the subsidy at filing rather than as advance monthly payments — if you take it in advance your premium is lower each month and the filing credit is smaller. Benchmark premium defaults to an age-based estimate; enter your SLCSP (Form 1095-A, column B, or healthcare.gov) for an exact figure. Near the cliff, verify with a professional.

Tax year 2026 · Calculated Sep 25, 2026

Estimated scenario only. This result is based on the inputs, assumptions, and tax year shown. It is not tax, legal, investment, insurance, or financial advice and does not establish eligibility, compliance, a tax amount, or a benefit. Verify important results with a qualified professional before acting.

Year 2
  • Pay tax balance due$16,294.89

Projected balance

$73.53K$39.83K$6.13K112

Results & projections

Add the month-by-month tables you want to see.

What this tool does & how it works

What this tool does

If you’re self-employed and buy health insurance through the ACA Marketplace, one number quietly controls thousands of dollars of your health costs: 400% of the federal poverty level. In 2026, earning a dollar over it can wipe out your premium tax credit entirely — the “subsidy cliff.”

This tool shows you, from your own numbers, where you stand relative to that cliff — and how large a deduction would put your modeled MAGI under the threshold. Enter your self-employment income, household size and a few details, and the tool computes your MAGI, the deductions that lower it, and how much each changes the estimated credit. Your income isn't final until the year is — a strong final quarter or a late invoice can carry you over the cliff — so the tool recalculates as your numbers change, while the year is still open rather than at filing.

The tool is built for the person the cliff hits hardest: the freelancer, consultant, or small-business owner.

How the cliff works

The Marketplace premium tax credit is calculated on a sliding scale based on your household income relative to the federal poverty level (FPL). For the 2026 plan year, under current law, the subsidy is available up to 400% of FPL and disappears above it — a hard cutoff rather than a gradual phase-out. The exact threshold depends on your household size and where you live; you can confirm the current figures at healthcare.gov and in the federal poverty guidelines.

Because the subsidy stops rather than tapers, two households a few hundred dollars apart in income can face very different health costs — one receiving thousands in assistance, the other nothing. That discontinuity is what makes the threshold a cliff, and it's why a strong final quarter or a year-end invoice can cost far more than the income it added.

What actually lowers your MAGI

Your subsidy is based on your modified adjusted gross income (MAGI), not your gross revenue — and that distinction decides which deductions matter. Only deductions taken “above the line” reduce MAGI. Pre-tax retirement contributions (a Solo 401(k), SEP-IRA, or for higher earners a cash-balance plan), HSA contributions, and the self-employed health insurance deduction all qualify. Itemized deductions — mortgage interest, state and local taxes, most charitable giving — reduce your taxable income but not your MAGI, so they do nothing for the ACA cliff. Confusing the two is a common and expensive mistake.

The tool weighs the MAGI-reducing options available in your situation, accounts for those you already use, and calculates the additional amount that would put your modeled MAGI under the threshold. Near the cliff, a contribution you were likely making anyway can do two things at once — fund your retirement account and change the estimated credit. Whether a particular contribution is available to you depends on your plan, your earned income and the annual limits; confirm your eligibility with a qualified professional.

How it works, step by step

  1. 1Enter your situation — self-employment income, household size, age, and your benchmark premium (or let the tool estimate it).
  2. 2See your position — where your MAGI lands relative to your 400% FPL cliff, and how much subsidy is at stake.
  3. 3See what moves your position — the MAGI-reducing options open to you, and how much each changes the estimated credit.
  4. 4Adjust and explore — change a contribution or your income and watch your position and subsidy update.
  5. 5Track your position through the year — your income isn't final until the year is, so come back as it changes to see where you stand and which scenarios remain available.

The calculation handles an interaction most estimates miss: your health-insurance premiums are themselves deductible, so deducting them lowers your MAGI, which raises your subsidy — which in turn limits how much of the premium you're allowed to deduct. That loop is genuinely circular, and the IRS publishes a specific method for resolving it. A mistake in either direction moves the answer by thousands, and near a cliff the difference between clearing it and missing by a few hundred dollars is the difference between a full subsidy and none.

Two things worth knowing about scope: the tool assumes you claim the subsidy at filing rather than as advance monthly payments, and it estimates your benchmark premium from your age unless you enter your own. Both are adjustable, and both are stated where they apply.

Who it's for (and who it isn't)

The tool is most valuable when you’re near the cliff — close enough that a realistic contribution can bring your MAGI under the threshold. If you’re far over the threshold, no contribution can bridge the gap. If you’re comfortably under, you already qualify — but the tool still shows how much room you have and watches it through the year, so a strong season doesn’t quietly push you over the edge before you notice.

Frequently asked questions

What is the 400% FPL subsidy cliff?+
It's the income threshold above which the ACA premium tax credit, under current 2026 law, drops to zero rather than phasing out gradually. Crossing it can eliminate thousands of dollars in premium assistance.
What counts toward the income the subsidy is based on?+
Marketplace subsidies use modified adjusted gross income (MAGI), not gross revenue and not taxable income. MAGI starts from your adjusted gross income and adds back a few items — tax-exempt interest, excluded foreign income, and the non-taxable portion of Social Security. Anything deducted above the line lowers MAGI; itemized deductions do not.
Which deductions actually lower my ACA income?+
Above-the-line ones. Pre-tax contributions to a SEP-IRA or Solo 401(k) reduce your MAGI, as do HSA contributions and the self-employed health insurance deduction. A traditional IRA counts too, though once you're covered by a retirement plan such as a SEP-IRA or Solo 401(k), the IRA deduction phases out at higher incomes. Itemized deductions — mortgage interest, state and local taxes, most charitable giving — reduce taxable income but not MAGI, so they don't move your position relative to the cliff.
What's the difference between taking the subsidy monthly and at filing?+
You can have the credit paid in advance directly to your insurer each month, which lowers your premium bill, or claim the full credit when you file. If you take it in advance, you reconcile at filing against your actual income: earn less than estimated and you receive the difference; earn more and you repay some of the advance. Below 400% of the poverty level that repayment is capped on a sliding scale — at or above 400% there is no cap, and the entire advance amount is repaid.
Does this work for everyone over the cliff?+
No — it works when you're close enough that a feasible contribution can bring your MAGI under the threshold. If you're far above it, no contribution can bridge the gap.
What if my income changes after I check?+
Then your MAGI changes too. The subsidy is based on your full-year MAGI, so nothing is settled until the year closes — a strong fourth quarter or a late invoice can carry you across the cliff after you thought you were clear, and a slow quarter can carry you back under. So it's worth tracking your MAGI through the year rather than calculating it once: you see where you stand as your numbers change, while the year is still open.
Where do I find my benchmark premium?+
Your second-lowest-cost Silver plan (SLCSP) premium is on Form 1095-A, column B, or you can look it up at healthcare.gov. The tool can also estimate it from your age if you don’t have it yet.
Is the ACA cliff permanent?+
Health-subsidy rules are subject to legislation and can change. This tool reflects current 2026 law; always confirm current rules at your state exchange or healthcare.gov.
Is this a filing tool? Do I still need my accountant?+
No, it's not a filing tool — and yes, keep your accountant: you'll still file at tax time, through them or your tax software, exactly as you do now. This tool does the modeling that comes first — it shows where your income lands relative to the 400% FPL cliff, and which deductions reduce the MAGI your credit is calculated from, while the year is still open.
How is this different from a service that handles my taxes?+
A service does the work — books, payroll, filing. This tool models your options — the contribution size that puts your modeled MAGI under the threshold, and the estimated effect on your tax — so the call is yours to make. Plenty of people use both.
ACA Subsidy Cliff Calculator — Estimate Your Subsidy